Forecast Totals

These are estimates based on matched historic figures from the AEC for turnout and informal rates and then using those to estimate absent, provisional and declared pre-poll votes.

Postals are estimated from PVAs using historic return rates. Ordinary pre-polls are estimated using pre-polls to date (plus an allowance for Friday) minus expected declaration votes in those PPVCs. Finally Election day votes are estimated subtracting all those away from the estimated total.